Solo Calculator
Calculate your odds of finding a block on SoloFury · live network data
Click CALCULATE to see your block-finding odds…
📐 CALCULATION METHODS
- Probability of finding ≥1 block
P = 1 − e^(−λ) - Expected blocks in period (λ)
λ = (your hashrate ÷ network hashrate) × (period ÷ block time) - Expected (average) time to a block
T = (network hashrate ÷ your hashrate) × block time - Median time (50% chance)
median = T × ln(2) ≈ T × 0.693 - Daily expected reward (long-run avg)
= your share × blocks/day × block reward - Difficulty growth (optional)
long-run periods discounted assuming difficulty rises ~2×/yr - Rental hashrate
same Poisson model · power draw not used — you pay a marketplace rental fee (NiceHash / MiningRigRentals), not electricity
Data source: live network hashrate from SoloFury full nodes · Poisson model · refreshed on each calculation ·