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Solo Calculator

Calculate your odds of finding a block on SoloFury · live network data

PRESET

YOUR HASHRATE

UNIT

Account for difficulty growth (~2×/yr)

Click CALCULATE to see your block-finding odds…

📐 CALCULATION METHODS

Probability of finding ≥1 blockP = 1 − e^(−λ)
Expected blocks in period (λ)λ = (your hashrate ÷ network hashrate) × (period ÷ block time)
Expected (average) time to a blockT = (network hashrate ÷ your hashrate) × block time
Median time (50% chance)median = T × ln(2) ≈ T × 0.693
Daily expected reward (long-run avg)= your share × blocks/day × block reward
Difficulty growth (optional)long-run periods discounted assuming difficulty rises ~2×/yr

Data source: live network hashrate from SoloFury full nodes · Poisson model · refreshed on each calculation ·

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01 — GET ASIC MINER

Or rent SHA-256 hashrate online. Bigger hashrate = better odds.

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02 — RENT SHA-256

Choose hashrate amount and rental duration on MiningRigRentals or NiceHash.

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03 — POINT TO SOLOFURY

Set pool: btc.solofury.com:6060 (BTC) or any coin subdomain.

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04 — WIN THE BLOCK

Full reward goes directly to your wallet via coinbase transaction.